On the eve of the 2012 presidential election, let’s have a
look at a snapshot of the social media presence of both President Obama and
Governor Romney and see what we can glean:
Barack
Obama
|
Mitt
Romney
|
Variance
|
|
Website Traffic*
|
8,689,194
|
2,601,141
|
Obama +234%
|
Facebook (Likes)
|
32,032,038
|
12,054,086
|
Obama +166%
|
Twitter
|
21,845,410
|
1,716,225
|
Obama +1173%
|
YouTube (Subs / Views)
|
259,656 / 262,333,200
|
29,161 / 29,349,489
|
Obama +790%/+794%
|
Google+
|
2,314,119
|
1,023,803
|
Obama +126%
|
This is but one barometer that probably has
little bearing on actual sentiment (judging by the razor-thin margins in most
pre-election polls) but one cannot help notice just how much more vibrant Obama’s online support is.
This is not only a clear indication of his followers' passion, but more importantly,
the demographic profile advantage – specifically age group - for the democrats.
As in 2008, younger, (more progressive, socially tolerant
and tech savvy) voters squarely prefer Obama. This skews social media metrics by
a wide margin, but still the margins are still just so great, especially in
such a close election where both sides claim tremendous voter enthusiasm. Of
course, the way our electoral college works, these #’s have even less
relevance, as they probably over index coastal, urban population centers that index
higher in tech adoption and already lean democratic. And how many of us really are on Twitter, FB
or YouTube clicking and liking our candidate? So who knows…
Nonetheless, one take-away is simple: These #’s are
real, and they support the case that the Republicans have A LOT of work to do
to address their ever-decreasing dependency on the older white, male vote. This will
be the last election where they can have such a close race without really
garnering significant support from minorities or women. The demographics in
this country have forever changed and the Republicans will need to rethink how
they can appeal to a broader, moderately conservative base with a more
inclusionary message. There are some very valid pillars to the Republican
platform that seem to just get lost in the mix. Oh, and also de-couple themselves
from the oppressive right-wing grip. Details, details!
Looking forward to this evening’s returns!
*Website
Traffic Source: Compete.com September
2012
Yay data nerds!
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